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Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Dec 15, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Dortmund logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Dortmund

Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')

Preview: Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Dortmund - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Werder Bremen host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on Tuesday, with the visitors starting life without ex-manager Lucien Favre after the 63-year-old was sacked following the embarrassing 5-1 defeat at home to Stuttgart on Saturday.

Bremen, meanwhile, have lost three consecutive matches, failing to win any of their last eight league games.


Match preview

Werder Bremen manager Florian Kohfeldt pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Indeed, Florian Kohfeldt's side never looked like troubling RB Leipzig on Saturday, falling to a one-sided 2-0 loss at last season's Champions League semi-finalists.

A Marcel Sabitzer penalty was backed up by Dani Olmo's strike to give Julian Nagelsmann's side a commanding lead heading into the break, with Bremen having just two shots on target across the 90 minutes.

Having slipped to 13th in the table, Kohfeldt's side are at risk of being embroiled in another relegation battle having narrowly survived via a playoff with second-tier outfit Heidenheim last season.

Arminia Bielefeld currently lie four points behind Bremen in the relegation playoff place, so Kohfeldt will be imploring his side to pick up a positive result against a Dortmund side without a manager to put more distance between themselves and danger.

Borussia Dortmund head coach Lucien Favre pictured on October 17, 2020© Reuters

Things have turned sour very quickly at Dortmund, meanwhile, who have acted swiftly by sacking Favre after the dismal home defeat to Stuttgart, with assistant manager Edin Terzic taking over as interim manager until the end of the season.

Having taken only one point from their previous two matches against FC Koln and Eintracht Frankfurt, Favre was under significant pressure to gain a positive result against the in-form Bundesliga newboys.

Despite Giovanni Reyna levelling proceedings heading into the half-time interval after Silas Wamangituka's penalty had broken the deadlock, Stuttgart ran riot in the second half with four goals effectively leaving Favre's position untenable.

With top goalscorer Erling Braut Haaland injured until after the winter break with a hamstring injury, though, things are unlikely to instantly get better for Dortmund, who face the prospect of yet another season without being in the title picture come the final stages of the season.

Werder Bremen Bundesliga form: DDDLLL

Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga form: WLWLDL
Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions): WLDDWL


Team News

Erling Braut Haaland in action for Borussia Dortmund on November 28, 2020© Reuters

Bremen are likely to remain without three strikers in the shape of Niclas Fullkrug, Milot Rashica and David Selke for the visit of Dortmund, with muscle injuries keeping the trio out.

Joshua Sargent will continue to lead the line, with the young American forward hoping for more service than he has received in recent matches.

Dortmund, meanwhile, will not have the services of Haaland until the New Year, with Thomas Meunier and Thorgan Hazard unavailable for the trip to Bremen with muscle issues.

Thomas Delaney has a back problem, with Marcel Schmelzer still recovering from knee surgery.

It will certainly be interesting to see if Terzic makes any tweaks to the side, with some of the fringe players in the squad likely to up the ante in training in an attempt to force their way into the 38-year-old's plans.

Werder Bremen possible starting lineup:
Pavlenka; Gross, Toprak, Friedl; Gebre Selassie, Mohwald, Eggestein, Augustinsson; Bittencourt, Schmidt; Sargent

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Burki; Zagadou, Hummels, Akanji; Morey, Can, Witsel, Guerreiro; Sancho, Reyna; Reus


SM words green background

We say: Werder Bremen 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

Bremen recently drew five matches in a row by the scoreline of 1-1, so with neither side approaching this game with any confidence whatsoever, it would be little surprise to see both managers settle for a point.

Kohfeldt will be hoping to stifle a Dortmund side which lacks a focal point with Haaland, with Sargent's pace in transition likely to be a common threat throughout the game.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Brett Curtis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Dortmund

Werder Bremen
13.6%
Draw
27.1%
Borussia Dortmund
59.3%
118
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Borussia Dortmund head coach Lucien Favre pictured on November 4, 2020
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4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
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