Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
3 - 1
Lille

Mawissa (49'), Sierro (60' pen.), Dallinga (66')
Magri (34'), Sierro (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Arnar Haraldsson (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Benfica
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 3-0 Le Havre
Saturday, February 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse have shown pleasing improvement in Ligue 1 since the turn of the year to improve their survival hopes, but with their visitors enjoying a strong run of their own and boasting more quality, we envisage an away win with the hosts also more fatigued on the back of a tough midweek European tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Lille
26.46%	26% ( 0.02)	47.54% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.12% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.42% (

-0.1)

53.58% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.91% (

-0.08)

75.08% (

0.08)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.7% (

-0.05)

35.3% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.94% (

-0.05)

72.06% (

0.05)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

-0.05)

22.54% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.88% (

-0.08)

56.12% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 26.46%

Lille 47.54%

Draw 25.99%

Toulouse	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.46%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 47.54%