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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
West Brom logo

Southampton
2 - 1
West Brom

Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bartley (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 1-0 West Bromwich Albion

Southampton have shown attacking quality and fighting spirit in equal measure during their current unbeaten run, and the Saints will be confident of extending their streak against a West Brom side who are not always effective on the road. The Baggies are doing a commendable job of chasing down promotion despite the ongoing issues at the club, but we believe that they will leave St Mary's with a loss on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
36.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 25.79% (0.363 0.36) 38.02% (-0.422 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-1.263 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (-1.625 -1.63)49.26% (1.62 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-1.482 -1.48)71.31% (1.477 1.48)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.729 -0.73)26.39% (0.726 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.981 -0.98)61.54% (0.976 0.98)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.97 -0.97)25.36% (0.964 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-1.346 -1.35)60.15% (1.341 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.19%
    West Bromwich Albion 38.02%
    Draw 25.79%
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.401 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.02%

How you voted: Southampton vs West Brom

Southampton
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
West Bromwich Albion
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Pereira (32' pen.), Phillips (35'), Robinson (69')
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Djenepo (41'), Romeu (69')
Djenepo (50'), Walker-Peters (53')

Livermore (26')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Fifth Round
West Brom
1-2
Southampton
Rondon (58')
Krychowiak (30'), McClean (42')
Hoedt (11'), Tadic (56')
Carrillo (45'), Lemina (75')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
West Brom
2-3
Southampton
Hegazi (4'), Rondon (72')
Barry (22'), Phillips (92')
Lemina (40'), Stephens (43'), Ward-Prowse (55')
Bertrand (92')
Oct 21, 2017 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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