World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 26, 2024 at 11am UK

Rizal Memorial Stadium

Philippines
0 - 5
Iraq

Curran (10'), Baas (52')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Hussein (14' pen., 36'), Al-Ammari (30'), Iqbal (62'), Tahseen (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Philippines and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Philippines
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iraq

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Philippines
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

While Philippines will be desperate to get their qualifying campaign on track, they face the stern challenge of taking on a significantly superior and more experienced Iraq side. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two nations, we are tipping Garcia's men to come away with a comfortable victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Philippines win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.

Result
Philippines	Draw	Iraq
30.63% ( -0.02)	27.65% ( 0)	41.72% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.76% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.2% (

-0.01)

57.8% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.47% (

-0)

78.53% (

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.71% (

-0.02)

34.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-0.02)

71% (

0.02)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

27.31% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

0.01)

62.75% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Philippines 30.63%

Iraq 41.71%

Draw 27.64%

Philippines	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.63%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.71%