Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 0
Lecce

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

While you are inclined to back Napoli to record maximum points on their last game of a wretched year, this side have stunk for much of this season, winning just one in 10 in Serie A. Without a clean sheet since February and winless on home turf since early March, Lecce securing a point in Naples is a strong possibility on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Lecce
58.43% ( 0.17)	22.2% ( -0.06)	19.36% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.8% (

0.1)

45.19% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.46% (

0.09)

67.54% (

-0.1)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.85% (

0.09)

15.15% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.26% (

0.17)

43.74% (

-0.17)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.73% (

-0.06)

37.27% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

-0.06)

74.05% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Napoli 58.42%

Lecce 19.36%

Draw 22.2%

Napoli	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 58.42%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.2%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.36%