Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
46.69% ( -0) | 25.16% ( 0) | 28.15% |
Both teams to score 53.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.84% | 49.16% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.77% | 71.23% ( 0) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% | 21.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.1% ( -0) | 53.89% ( 0) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.38% | 31.62% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.97% ( 0) | 68.03% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.67% 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |