DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals

Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 2
Stuttgart

Andrich (50'), Adli (66'), Tah (90')
Andrich (18'), Frimpong (34')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Anton (11'), Fuhrich (58')
Mittelstadt (26')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Darmstadt 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Stuttgart

Having set the longest unbeaten run in the club's history on Saturday, Bayer should secure a record-extending win over Stuttgart regardless of Tuesday's personnel tweaks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.94%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Stuttgart
56.94% ( -0.03)	20.44% ( 0)	22.62% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 64.69% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.52% (

0.03)

32.48% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.88% (

0.04)

54.12% (

-0.04)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.55% (

11.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.74% (

0.01)

36.26% (

-0)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05% (

0.04)

26.95% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

0.06)

62.29% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 56.94%

Stuttgart 22.62%

Draw 20.44%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.72% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.94%	1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.44%	1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 22.62%