League One

League One | 1st Leg

May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
1 - 3
Bolton

(Bolton Wanderers win 5-4 on aggregate)

Cosgrove (75')
Phillips (18'), Connell (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Charles (23', 53' pen.), Williams (90+4')
Maghoma (41'), Thomason (45+4'), Cogley (80'), Toal (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Bolton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Barnsley and Bolton played out draws in their two head-to-head meetings this season, and we think that there could be a similar result on Friday, especially as the Tykes have drawn their last two home games, while the Trotters have seen four of their previous six away games finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
36.95% ( -0.05)	25.59% ( 0.21)	37.47% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 55.69% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68% (

-0.96)

48.32% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.53% (

-0.88)

70.47% (

0.88)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

-0.47)

25.52% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.62% (

-0.65)

60.38% (

0.65)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

-0.52)

25.23% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.02% (

-0.73)

59.98% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 36.95%

Bolton Wanderers 37.47%

Draw 25.59%

Barnsley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.95%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.47%