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Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's La Liga clash with Alaves.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-0 Alaves
Monday, December 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 0-2 Real Madrid

 Alaves boss Garcia is seeking major improvements from his side following their below-par performance against Girona last time out, but keeping a rampant Real Madrid outfit quiet on Thursday will be a tall order. Los Blancos, who will be motivated by the prospect of entering 2024 at the top of the table if they beat Alaves and Girona drop points at Real Betis, should have few problems claiming maximum points at Mendizorroza where they have had plenty of success in recent years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
26.43% (0.354 0.35) 25.78% (0.0030000000000001 0) 47.79% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 50.73% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.226 0.23)52.76% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.193 0.19)74.39% (-0.193 -0.19)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (0.41499999999999 0.41)34.88% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.436 0.44)71.62% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)22.08% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)55.44% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 26.43%
    Real Madrid 47.78%
    Draw 25.78%
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 26.43%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 11.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.78%

How you voted: Alaves vs Real Madrid

Alaves
4.1%
Draw
6.8%
Real Madrid
89.2%
148
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> Preview
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417
> La Liga Full Table


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