La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 14, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
4 - 2
Valladolid

Alvarez (25' pen., 71' pen.), Simeone (27'), Sorloth (79')
Lenglet (55')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sylla (21' pen.), Sanchez (56')
Anuar (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, April 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 0-4 Getafe
Sunday, April 6 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
65.48% ( -0.38)	19.25% ( 0.13)	15.27% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 54.78% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.01% (

-0.1)

38.98% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.69% (

-0.1)

61.3% (

0.1)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.85% (

-0.13)

11.14% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.4% (

-0.28)

35.59% (

0.28)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.64% (

0.26)

38.35% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.89% (

0.25)

75.11% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 65.47%

Real Valladolid 15.27%

Draw 19.25%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.23% Total : 65.47%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.25%	1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 15.27%