La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 6, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
1 - 2
Atletico

Agoume (7')
Salas (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Alvarez (25' pen.), Barrios (90+3')
Simeone (51'), Lenglet (57'), Le Normand (85'), Sorloth (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 2-1 Sevilla
Sunday, March 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Atletico Madrid
23.32% ( 0.09)	24.38% ( -0.16)	52.3% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 51.95% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.33% (

0.75)

49.67% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.31% (

0.67)

71.68% (

-0.66)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.11% (

0.5)

35.89% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.33% (

0.5)

72.67% (

-0.5)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

0.32)

18.96% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

0.52)

50.49% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 23.32%

Atletico Madrid 52.29%

Draw 24.38%

Sevilla	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.32%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.29%