Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.