La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 16, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
0 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Nyland (10'), Sow (19'), Niguez (23'), Agoume (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alvarez (84')
Berenguer (59'), Nunez (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Sevilla
Sunday, March 9 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Roma
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
29.84% ( -0.13)	27.86% ( 0.07)	42.29% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 46.84% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.19% (

-0.28)

58.81% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.68% (

-0.22)

79.32% (

0.22)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.58% (

-0.25)

35.42% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.82% (

-0.26)

72.18% (

0.26)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.53% (

-0.1)

27.47% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.04% (

-0.13)

62.96% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 29.84%

Athletic Bilbao 42.29%

Draw 27.85%

Sevilla	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 29.84%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.29%