Copa del Rey
Atletico
Apr 2, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 6' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 9' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 13' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 31' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 59' yellowcard
  • goal Ferran Torres 27'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 35'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 68'

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last game
Feb 25, 2025 8.30pm
Barcelona 4 - 4 Atletico

Barcelona

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last game
Feb 25, 2025 8.30pm
Barcelona 4 - 4 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 34.26% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 24.72% ▼ (-0.09)
Barcelona 41.01% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.35% ▲ (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.27% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 2.5 44.72% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 3.5 32.91% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 67.08% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 4.5 16.73% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 83.26% ▼ (-0.26)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 74.63% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 25.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 39.83% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 60.16% ▼ (-0.12)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 78.19% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 21.81% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 1.5 44.97% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 55.02% ▼ (-0.42)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 34.26%
Draw 24.72%
Barcelona 41.01%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 34.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.72%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.01%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 28
Atletico
Mar 16, 2025 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Reinildo Mandava 36' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 70' goal
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 26'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 64'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 72'
  • goal Ferran Torres 78'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lamine Yamal 90'+3'
  • goal Ferran Torres 90'+8'
Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Feb 25, 2025 8.30pm
4
4
HT : 3 2
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico
  • Pedri 19' goal
  • Pau Cubarsi 21' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 41' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 74' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 1'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 6'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 16'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 70'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 82'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 84'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 88'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+1'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Barcelona
Dec 21, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico
  • Pedri 30' goal
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 54'
  • goal Rodrigo De Paul 60'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 77'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Atletico
Mar 17, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Rodrigo De Paul 46' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 61' yellowcard
  • Pablo Barrios 89' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 33'
  • goal Joao Felix 38'
  • yellowcard Xavi 41'
  • redcard Xavi 42'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 47'
  • goal Fermin Lopez 65'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Barcelona
Dec 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico
  • Joao Felix 28' goal
  • Joao Felix 50' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 78' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 79' yellowcard
  • Xavi 82' yellowcard
  • Joao Cancelo 87' yellowcard
  • Frenkie de Jong 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 31'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 34'
  • yellowcard Koke 38'
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 47'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Barcelona
Apr 23, 2023 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Atletico
  • Ferran Torres 44' goal

Form Data

Espanyol 1 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 2 - 4 Barcelona
Atletico 1 - 0 Real Madrid
Getafe 2 - 1 Atletico
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Barcelona 4 - 1 Girona
Barcelona 3 - 0 Osasuna
Atletico 2 - 4 Barcelona
Barcelona 3 - 1 Benfica
Benfica 0 - 1 Barcelona
Barcelona 4 - 0 Real Sociedad

Build-up

News
Head to head
Predicted Lineups