La Liga Gameweek 28
Atletico
Mar 16, 2025 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Reinildo Mandava 36' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 70' goal
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 26'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 64'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 72'
  • goal Ferran Torres 78'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lamine Yamal 90'+3'
  • goal Ferran Torres 90'+8'

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 1.00pm
Getafe 2 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 3.15pm
Barcelona 4 - 0 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
102
Top scorer
Robert Lewandowski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 31.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Barcelona 43.89% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.53% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.92% ▲ (+0.03)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 74.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 25.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 39.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 60.83% ▲ (+0.06)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 80.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.71%
Over 1.5 48.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.72% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 31.94%
Draw 24.16%
Barcelona 43.89%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 31.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.16%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 43.89%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Feb 25, 2025 8.30pm
4
4
HT : 3 2
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico
  • Pedri 19' goal
  • Pau Cubarsi 21' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 41' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 74' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 1'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 6'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 16'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 70'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 82'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 84'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 88'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+1'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Barcelona
Dec 21, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico
  • Pedri 30' goal
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 54'
  • goal Rodrigo De Paul 60'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 77'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Atletico
Mar 17, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Rodrigo De Paul 46' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 61' yellowcard
  • Pablo Barrios 89' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 33'
  • goal Joao Felix 38'
  • yellowcard Xavi 41'
  • redcard Xavi 42'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 47'
  • goal Fermin Lopez 65'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Barcelona
Dec 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico
  • Joao Felix 28' goal
  • Joao Felix 50' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 78' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 79' yellowcard
  • Xavi 82' yellowcard
  • Joao Cancelo 87' yellowcard
  • Frenkie de Jong 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 31'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 34'
  • yellowcard Koke 38'
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 47'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Barcelona
Apr 23, 2023 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Atletico
  • Ferran Torres 44' goal
La Liga Gameweek 16
Atletico
Jan 8, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 22'

Form Data

Atletico 1 - 0 Real Madrid
Getafe 2 - 1 Atletico
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Barcelona 4 - 4 Atletico
Valencia 0 - 3 Atletico
Barcelona 3 - 1 Benfica
Benfica 0 - 1 Barcelona
Barcelona 4 - 0 Real Sociedad
Barcelona 4 - 4 Atletico
Las Palmas 0 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano

Build-up

Predicted Lineups