La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Mar 30, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
4 - 1
Girona

Krejci (43' og.), Lewandowski (61', 77'), Torres (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Danjuma (53')
Herrera (42')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Osasuna
Thursday, March 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, March 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 77.54%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Girona
77.54% ( 1.47)	13.83% ( -0.61)	8.63% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

-1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.33% (

0.09)

30.67% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48% (

0.11)

52% (

-0.1)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.61% (

0.3)

6.39% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.03% (

0.81)

23.97% (

-0.8)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.29% (

-1.71)

43.72% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.11% (

-1.45)

79.89% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 77.54%

Girona 8.63%

Draw 13.83%

Barcelona	Draw	Girona
2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.15) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.06% Total : 77.54%	1-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 13.83%	1-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.73% Total : 8.63%