Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.