Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 64.42% ( | 19.74% ( | 15.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% ( | 40.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% ( | 62.53% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.23% ( | 11.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.05% ( | 36.95% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% ( | 38.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.88% ( | 75.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 3-0 @ 7.37% ( 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 4-0 @ 3.94% ( 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 5-1 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 64.42% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.74% | 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 1-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.83% |