La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 16, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Real Sociedad

Trejo (58'), Diaz (72')
Guardiola (40'), Lejeune (74'), Espino (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zubimendi (20'), Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta (80')
Lopez (11'), Barrenetxea (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Man Utd 4-1 Real Sociedad
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Sociedad
43.05%	27.72% ( 0.06)	29.23% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 46.96% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.48% (

-0.24)

58.52% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.9% (

-0.19)

79.1% (

0.19)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07% (

-0.11)

26.93% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74% (

-0.15)

62.26% (

0.15)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.27% (

-0.17)

35.73% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.5% (

-0.18)

72.5% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 43.05%

Real Sociedad 29.23%

Draw 27.72%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.05%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.72%	0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 29.23%