La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 22, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Villarreal

Ratiu (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (66')
Barry (44'), Pino (55'), Parejo (90+5'), Conde (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, February 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Villarreal
34.28% ( 0.04)	26.46% ( 0.07)	39.27% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 52.48% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.7% (

-0.29)

52.3% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26% (

-0.25)

73.99% (

0.25)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71% (

-0.12)

29% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.1% (

-0.14)

64.9% (

0.14)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92% (

-0.19)

26.08% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87% (

-0.26)

61.13% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 34.28%

Villarreal 39.26%

Draw 26.45%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.28%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.26%