La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 15, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
0 - 1
Celta Vigo

Moro (82'), Sylla (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alonso (83' pen.)
Alonso (37'), Alfon (56'), Mingueza (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Leganes
Saturday, March 8 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Celta Vigo
29.21% ( -0.43)	26.01% ( 0.05)	44.79% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93% (

-0.4)

52.06% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2% (

-0.35)

73.79% (

0.34)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.65% (

-0.52)

32.34% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15% (

-0.59)

68.85% (

0.59)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83% (

23.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.95% (

0.01)

57.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 29.21%

Celta Vigo 44.78%

Draw 26%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.21%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.78%