Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.