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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
| 54.84% ( | 23.43% ( | 21.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( | 47.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( | 69.63% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( | 17.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.59% ( | 47.41% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( | 36.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% ( | 72.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 3-0 @ 5.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.8% Total : 54.83% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.72% |