World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Nov 19, 2024 at 12am UK

Guangxi Sports Center

China
vs.
Japan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. China
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Japan vs. Bahrain
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for China has a probability of 11.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.7%), while for a China win it is 2-1 (3.26%).

Result
China	Draw	Japan
11.05% ( -1.64)	16.46% ( -1.62)	72.49% ( 3.26)

Both teams to score 52.19% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.9% (

3.36)

36.1% (

-3.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.79% (

3.6)

58.21% (

-3.6)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.15% (

-0.5)

42.85% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.84% (

-0.43)

79.16% (

0.43)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.32% (

1.64)

8.68% (

-1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.12% (

3.87)

29.88% (

-3.87)

Score Analysis

China 11.05%

Japan 72.49%

Draw 16.46%

China	Draw	Japan
2-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.61) 2-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.25% Total : 11.05%	1-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.65) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.46%	0-2 @ 11.1% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.84) 0-3 @ 9.05% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0.34) 0-4 @ 5.53% ( 0.69) 1-4 @ 4.69% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.1) 0-5 @ 2.71% ( 0.5) 1-5 @ 2.29% ( 0.4) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.2) 0-6 @ 1.1% ( 0.27) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.16) 1-6 @ 0.93% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.7% Total : 72.49%