World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Sep 10, 2024 5.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī
  • Ibrahim Al Khatal 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ayase Ueda 37'
  • goal Ayase Ueda 47'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 61'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 64'
  • goal Koki Ogawa 81'

Bahrain vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Sep 5, 2024 11.10am
Australia 0 - 1 Bahrain

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Sep 5, 2024 11.35am
Japan 7 - 0 China

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Bahrain win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result

Bahrain 21.77% (+0.24)
Draw 22.54% (+0.10)
Japan 55.68% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.88% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.5% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 43.5% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 34.11% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 65.89% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 17.6% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 82.4% (+0.12)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5 66.11% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 33.89% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 29.44% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 70.56% (-0.15)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 84.52% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 15.48% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 55.64% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 44.36% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Bahrain 21.77%
Draw 22.54%
Japan 55.68%
Bahrain
2-1 @ 5.73% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.68% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.07% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.07% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 21.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.35% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.25% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.54%
Japan
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.13% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 6.14% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 5.68% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 2.65% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 55.68%

Head to Head

Asian Cup
Jan 31, 2024 11.30am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Al Thumama Stadium
  • Yusuf 52' yellowcard
  • Ayase Ueda 64' goal
  • Waleed Al Hayam 79' yellowcard
  • goal Ritsu Doan 31'
  • goal Takefusa Kubo 49'
  • yellowcard Seiya Maikuma 57'
  • goal Ayase Ueda 72'