World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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Ao Tanaka
2'
-
Hiroki Ito
60'
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Jang Kuk-Chol
20'
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Il-Song Ri
73'
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Kuk-Chol Kang II
75'
Japan vs North Korea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 80.23%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 6.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.12%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.12%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result
Japan
80.23%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
12.94%
▼
(-0.05)
North Korea
6.82%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
46.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.54%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
33.46%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
44.75%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
55.24%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
26.08%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
73.91%
▼
(-0.08)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
93.53%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
6.46%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
75.83%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
24.17%
▼
(-0.09)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5
49.74%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
50.25%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
15.16%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
84.83%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Japan
80.23%
Draw
12.94%
North Korea
6.82%
Japan
2-0
@
12.18%
▼
(-0.01)
3-0 @ 11.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 80.23%
3-0 @ 11.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 80.23%
Draw
1-1
@
6.12%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 12.94%
0-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 12.94%
North Korea
0-1
@
2.24%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 6.82%
1-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 6.82%