Asian Cup
Feb 3, 2024 11.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Education City Stadium
  • Mohammad Mohebi 55' goal
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Ko Itakura 24'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 28'
  • yellowcard Ayase Ueda 48'

Iran vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

Japan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Japan had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result

Iran 45.97% (-1.80)
Draw 26.47% (+0.91)
Japan 27.56% (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.55% (-2.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.28% (-3.00)
Under 2.5 54.72% (+3.00)
Over 3.5 23.96% (-2.54)
Under 3.5 76.04% (+2.54)
Over 4.5 10.71% (-1.62)
Under 4.5 89.29% (+1.62)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 76.25% (-2.10)
Under 0.5 23.75% (+2.10)
Over 1.5 42.1% (-3.11)
Under 1.5 57.89% (+3.11)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 64.98% (-0.89)
Under 0.5 35.01% (+0.89)
Over 1.5 28.24% (-0.94)
Under 1.5 71.76% (+0.94)

Score analysis

Iran 45.97%
Draw 26.46%
Japan 27.56%
Iran
1-0 @ 11.95% (+0.65)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.42)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.29)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.26)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.21)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (+0.39)
0-0 @ 8.32% (+0.93)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.27)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.46%
Japan
0-1 @ 8.73% (+0.79)
1-2 @ 6.58% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.58% (+0.31)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.56%