Asian Cup
Jan 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Education City Stadium
  • Mehdi Taremi 26' goal
  • Sadegh Moharrami 41' yellowcard
  • Mohammad Kanani 62' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 65' goal
  • yellowcard Tahnoon Alzaabi 54'
  • yellowcard Khaled Ibrahim 72'
  • goal Yahya Alghassani 90'+3'

Iran vs United Arab Emirates - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 19, 2024 5.30pm
Hong Kong 0 - 1 Iran

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 18, 2024 5.30pm
Palestine 1 - 1 UAE

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 9.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result

Iran 73.24% (-0.06)
Draw 17.31% (+0.08)
United Arab Emirates 9.44% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.85% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.91% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 45.09% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 32.57% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 67.43% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 16.48% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 83.52% (+0.29)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 89.18% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 10.82% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 65.12% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 34.88% (+0.28)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5 48.05% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 51.95% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 14.03% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 85.97% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Iran 73.22%
Draw 17.31%
United Arab Emirates 9.44%
Iran
2-0 @ 13.89% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 12.49% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 10.3% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 73.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.19% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 2.98% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 17.31%
United Arab Emirates
0-1 @ 3.68% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 2.68% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 9.44%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Feb 1, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Saeed Ezatolahi 23' yellowcard
  • Sadegh Moharrami 38' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 44' goal
  • Sadegh Moharrami 49' redcard
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tahnoon Alzaabi 84'
  • yellowcard Abdalla Ramadan 90'+2'
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 7, 2021 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bandar Al Ahbabi 21' yellowcard
  • Shahin Abdulrahman 74' yellowcard
  • Alhasan Saleh 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omid Noorafkan 43'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 70'