Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 13.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.