Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.