Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for India had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a India win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.