Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Khalifa International Stadium

UAE
3 - 1
Hong Kong

Adill Alamiri (34' pen.), Sultan (52'), Alghassani (90+5' pen.)
Idrees (23')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kwan Chan (49')
Nam Yue (27'), Gerbig (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Asian Cup clash between United Arab Emirates and Hong Kong, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

All competitions

Last Game: UAE 0-1 Oman
Saturday, January 6 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	0	0	0
2	Hong Kong	0	0	0
3	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0
4	Palestine	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 9.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	Hong Kong
72.2% ( -0.25)	18.66% ( 0.18)	9.14% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 37.7% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.47% (

-0.51)

51.53% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.67% (

-0.44)

73.33% (

0.44)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.07% (

-0.22)

12.93% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.61% (

-0.46)

39.39% (

0.46)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.3% (

-0.17)

56.7% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.13% (

-0.09)

88.87% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 72.2%

Hong Kong 9.14%

Draw 18.66%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	Hong Kong
2-0 @ 15.34% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 15% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 72.2%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.66%	0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 9.14%