Asian Cup
Jan 14, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Khalifa International Stadium
  • Abdulla Idrees 23' yellowcard
  • Sultan Adill Alamiri 34' goal
  • Zayed Sultan 52' goal
  • Yahya Alghassani 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Tze Nam Yue 27'
  • yellowcard Oliver Gerbig 33'
  • goal Siu Kwan Chan 49'

United Arab Emirates vs Hong Kong - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

All competitions

Hong Kong

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 9.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result

United Arab Emirates 72.2% (-0.25)
Draw 18.66% (+0.19)
Hong Kong 9.14% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.7% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.47% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 51.53% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 26.67% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 73.33% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 12.44% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 87.56% (+0.30)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5 87.07% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 12.93% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 60.61% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 39.39% (+0.47)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 43.3% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 56.7% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 11.13% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 88.87% (+0.10)

Score analysis

United Arab Emirates 72.2%
Draw 18.66%
Hong Kong 9.14%
United Arab Emirates
2-0 @ 15.34% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 15% (+0.18)
3-0 @ 10.45% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 5.35% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.19% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 72.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.51% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.34% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 2.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.66%
Hong Kong
0-1 @ 4.16% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 2.41% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 9.14%