International Friendlies
Jan 10, 2024 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium
  • Abdulrahman Ghareeb 21' goal
  • Fawaz Al-Sagour 86' goal

Saudi Arabia vs Hong Kong - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 9, 2024 3.30pm
Saudi Arabia 0 - 0 Palestine

Hong Kong

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 1.30pm
China 1 - 2 Hong Kong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result

Saudi Arabia 60.39% (-0.04)
Draw 22.97% (+0.43)
Hong Kong 16.64% (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.88% (-1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.58% (-2.25)
Under 2.5 52.42% (+2.26)
Over 3.5 25.9% (-1.97)
Under 3.5 74.1% (+1.97)
Over 4.5 11.94% (-1.29)
Under 4.5 88.06% (+1.29)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 83.01% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 16.99% (+0.81)
Over 1.5 52.89% (-1.44)
Under 1.5 47.11% (+1.44)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 55.28% (-1.83)
Under 0.5 44.72% (+1.84)
Over 1.5 19.29% (-1.52)
Under 1.5 80.71% (+1.52)

Score analysis

Saudi Arabia 60.38%
Draw 22.96%
Hong Kong 16.64%
Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 13.47% (+0.83)
2-0 @ 11.93% (+0.42)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 7.05% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.24)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.23)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 60.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 7.6% (+0.66)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.26)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 22.96%
Hong Kong
0-1 @ 6.12% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 4.36% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.13)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 16.64%