International Friendlies
Jan 4, 2024 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium
  • Firas Albirakan 48' goal

Saudi Arabia vs Lebanon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Lebanon

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.

Result

Saudi Arabia 40.9%
Draw 25.92%
Lebanon 33.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.98%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.73%
Under 2.5 50.26%
Over 3.5 27.78%
Under 3.5 72.21%
Over 4.5 13.16%
Under 4.5 86.83%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 75.7%
Under 0.5 24.29%
Over 1.5 41.33%
Under 1.5 58.66%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5 71.3%
Under 0.5 28.7%
Over 1.5 35.47%
Under 1.5 64.52%

Score analysis

Saudi Arabia 40.9%
Draw 25.91%
Lebanon 33.18%
Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 40.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
Lebanon
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 2.26%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 33.18%