Saudi Arabia national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium
Lebanon national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Lebanon

Albirakan (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Jordan 0-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Lebanon
Thursday, January 4 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Lebanon 2-1 Jordan
Thursday, December 28 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawLebanon
40.9%25.92%33.18%
Both teams to score 53.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73%50.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78%72.21%
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7%24.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33%58.66%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47%64.52%
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 40.9%
    Lebanon 33.18%
    Draw 25.91%
Saudi ArabiaDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.18%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Lebanon

Saudi Arabia
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Lebanon
33.3%
9
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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