Friendlies 3
Jan 4, 2024 at 12pm UK
Hong Kong Football Club Stadium
Tajikistan national football team

Hong Kong
1 - 2
Tajikistan

Camargo (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Soirov (25'), Samiev (51')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Hong Kong and Tajikistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

Last Game: Pakistan 1-6 Tajikistan
Tuesday, November 21 at 9am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Hong KongDrawTajikistan
49.98%24.93%25.09%
Both teams to score 52.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66%50.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72%72.28%
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84%20.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56%52.43%
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3%34.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58%71.42%
Score Analysis
    Hong Kong 49.97%
    Tajikistan 25.09%
    Draw 24.92%
Hong KongDrawTajikistan
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.4%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.09%

How you voted: Hong Kong vs Tajikistan

Hong Kong
35.7%
Draw
21.4%
Tajikistan
42.9%
14
rhs 2.0


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