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Palestine national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 18, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Al Janoub Stadium
United Arab Emirates national football team

Palestine
1 - 1
UAE

Abaelaziz (50' og.)
Jaber (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adill Alamiri (23')
Adill Alamiri (16'), Bento (17')
Bento (0'), Alhammadi (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between Palestine and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestine

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Iran 4-1 Palestine
Sunday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: UAE 3-1 Hong Kong
Sunday, January 14 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Palestine win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
PalestineDrawUnited Arab Emirates
30.27% (0.094000000000001 0.09)28.83% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)40.89% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 44.37% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.01% (0.067 0.07)61.99% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.27% (0.049999999999997 0.05)81.73% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Palestine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.19% (0.111 0.11)36.81% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4% (0.11 0.11)73.6% (-0.11 -0.11)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)29.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)65.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Palestine 30.26%
    United Arab Emirates 40.88%
    Draw 28.83%
PalestineDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 6.63% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 30.26%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.83%
0-1 @ 13.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 40.88%

How you voted: Palestine vs UAE

Palestine
26.4%
Draw
2.8%
United Arab Emirates
70.8%
72