Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Palestine win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Uzbekistan in this match.