Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestine win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 0-1 (8.05%).