Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Education City Stadium

Iran
4 - 1
Palestine

Ansarifard (2'), Khalilzadeh (12'), Ghaedi (38'), Azmoun (55')
Kanani (17')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Seyam (45+6')
Termanini (10'), Saldana (40'), Seyam (42'), Qunbar (51'), Khalil (80'), Saleh (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Asian Cup clash between Iran and Palestine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

Last Game: Indonesia 0-5 Iran
Tuesday, January 9 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	0	0	0
2	Hong Kong	0	0	0
3	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0
4	Palestine	0	0	0

Palestine

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Palestine
Tuesday, January 9 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	0	0	0
2	Hong Kong	0	0	0
3	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0
4	Palestine	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.15%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.66%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Iran	Draw	Palestine
66.53% ( 0.06)	23.14% ( -0.03)	10.34% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 31.13% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.36% (

0.04)

63.64% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.07% (

0.03)

82.93% (

-0.03)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

0.04)

18.93% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.57% (

0.07)

50.44% (

-0.06)

Palestine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.4% (

-0.03)

61.6% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.56% (

-0.01)

91.45% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Iran 66.52%

Palestine 10.34%

Draw 23.14%

Iran	Draw	Palestine
1-0 @ 19.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 16.15% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.01% Total : 66.52%	0-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.14%	0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.04% Total : 10.34%