Asian Cup
Jan 14, 2024 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Education City Stadium
  • Karim Ansarifard 2' goal
  • Shoja Khalilzadeh 12' goal
  • Mohammad Kanani 17' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Ghaedi 38' goal
  • Sardar Azmoun 55' goal
  • yellowcard Michel Termanini 10'
  • yellowcard Camilo Saldana 40'
  • yellowcard Tamer Seyam 42'
  • goal Tamer Seyam 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Zaid Qunbar 51'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Khalil 80'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Saleh 90'+5'

Iran vs Palestine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

Palestine

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.15%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.66%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result

Iran 66.53% (+0.07)
Draw 23.14% (-0.04)
Palestine 10.34% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

31.13% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.36% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 63.64% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 17.07% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 82.93% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 6.71% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 93.29% (-0.02)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 81.07% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 18.93% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 49.57% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 50.44% (-0.07)

Palestine Goals

Over 0.5 38.4% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 61.6% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 8.56% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 91.45% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Iran 66.52%
Draw 23.14%
Palestine 10.34%
Iran
1-0 @ 19.4% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 16.15% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.73% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 66.52%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.66% (-0.01)
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.14%
Palestine
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.28% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 10.34%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Dec 24, 2018 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonathan Cantillana 83' goal
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 50'