Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 10.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.15%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.66%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.