Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Iran had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Hong Kong	Draw	Iran
36.63% ( -0.02)	27.29% ( 0.07)	36.08% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 49.99% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.47% (

-0.28)

55.53% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.3% (

-0.23)

76.7% (

0.23)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0.15)

29.13% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94% (

-0.18)

65.06% (

0.19)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-0.17)

29.46% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

-0.21)

65.46% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Hong Kong 36.62%

Iran 36.07%

Draw 27.29%

Hong Kong	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.62%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.07%