/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fjaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Findlog.png)
-
Ayase Ueda
6'
-
Ayase Ueda
52'
-
Wataru Endo
68'
-
Takumi Minamino
70'
-
Justin Hubner
88'
-
Rafael Struick
42'
-
Tae-Yong Shin
43'
-
Jordi Amat
77'
-
Justin Hubner
78'
-
Sandy Walsh
90'+1'
Japan vs Indonesia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fjapan.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result
Japan
59.44%
▼
(-0.93)
Draw
21.22%
▲
(+0.45)
Indonesia
19.34%
▲
(+0.49)
Both Teams to Score:
56.51%
▼
(-0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.18%
▼
(-1.32)
Under 2.5
40.82%
▲
(+1.32)
Over 3.5
36.79%
▼
(-1.36)
Under 3.5
63.2%
▲
(+1.36)
Over 4.5
19.62%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 4.5
80.37%
▲
(+1.05)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
86.61%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 0.5
13.39%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 1.5
59.68%
▼
(-1.41)
Under 1.5
40.31%
▲
(+1.41)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5
65.25%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
34.74%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
28.52%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
71.47%
▲
(+0.29)
Score analysis
Japan
59.44%
Draw
21.22%
Indonesia
19.34%
Japan
2-1
@
9.94%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.11)
5-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 59.44%
2-0 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.11)
5-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 59.44%
Draw
1-1
@
9.89%
▲
(+0.27)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.28)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.22%
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.28)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.22%
Indonesia
1-2
@
5.23%
▲
(+0.11)
0-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 19.34%
0-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 19.34%