/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbahlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fjaplog.png)
-
Yusuf
52'
-
Ayase Ueda
64'
-
Waleed Al Hayam
79'
-
Ritsu Doan
31'
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Takefusa Kubo
49'
-
Seiya Maikuma
57'
-
Ayase Ueda
72'
Bahrain vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result
Bahrain
35.29%
▼
(-0.72)
Draw
26.28%
▼
(-0.16)
Japan
38.43%
▲
(+0.87)
Both Teams to Score:
53.18%
▲
(+0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.53%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 2.5
51.46%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 3.5
26.72%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 3.5
73.27%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 4.5
12.47%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 4.5
87.53%
▼
(-0.34)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5
72.02%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
27.97%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
36.39%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
63.61%
▲
(+0.19)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
73.84%
▲
(+0.77)
Under 0.5
26.15%
▼
(-0.77)
Over 1.5
38.77%
▲
(+1.02)
Under 1.5
61.23%
▼
(-1.02)
Score analysis
Bahrain
35.29%
Draw
26.28%
Japan
38.43%
Bahrain
1-0
@
9.32%
▼
(-0.27)
2-1 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.29%
2-1 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.29%
Draw
1-1
@
12.5%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.39)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.28%
0-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.39)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.28%
Japan
0-1
@
9.81%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 38.43%
1-2 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 38.43%