Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.