World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Nepal
0 - 4
UAE

Tamang (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Abdalla (12', 14'), Saleh (53'), Mohammad (75')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Nepal and United Arab Emirates.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

Last Game: Bahrain 3-0 Nepal
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

United Arab Emirates

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Yemen 0-3 UAE
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	3	5	9
2	United Arab Emirates	3	1	4
3	Palestine	3	0	4
4	Hong Kong	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 80.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 5.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.44%) and 0-1 (11.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-0 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
Nepal	Draw	United Arab Emirates
5.96% ( 0.12)	13.51% ( 0.68)	80.53% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 38.86% (

-1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.58% (

-2.86)

40.42% (

2.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.2% (

-3)

62.79% (

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.2% (

-1.62)

57.8% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.51% (

-0.91)

89.48% (

0.91)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.09% (

-0.8)

7.9% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.04% (

-2.06)

27.96% (

2.06)

Score Analysis

Nepal 5.96%

United Arab Emirates 80.52%

Draw 13.51%

Nepal	Draw	United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 5.96%	1-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.37% Total : 13.51%	0-2 @ 14.71% ( 0.76) 0-3 @ 12.44% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 1.04) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 7.9% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 4.33% ( -0.36) 0-5 @ 4.01% ( -0.29) 1-5 @ 2.2% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.18) 0-6 @ 1.7% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.17) 1-6 @ 0.93% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.78% Total : 80.52%