Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Round of 16

Jan 28, 2024 at 4pm UK

Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium

Tajikistan
1 - 1
UAE

Hanonov (30')
Khamrokulov (116')

FT
(aet)

Alhammadi (90+5')
Alghassani (69'), Alzaabi (84')

Tajikistan win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Asian Cup clash between Tajikistan and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Tajikistan 2-1 Lebanon
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

United Arab Emirates

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Iran 2-1 UAE
Tuesday, January 23 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	3	5	9
2	United Arab Emirates	3	1	4
3	Palestine	3	0	4
4	Hong Kong	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%).

Result
Tajikistan	Draw	United Arab Emirates
43.14% ( -0.19)	27.83% ( 0.01)	29.02% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 46.53% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.98% (

0.02)

59.02% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.51% (

0.01)

79.48% (

-0.01)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.88% (

-0.09)

27.12% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.5% (

-0.13)

62.5% (

0.12)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.83% (

0.15)

36.16% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.05% (

0.15)

72.95% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Tajikistan 43.13%

United Arab Emirates 29.02%

Draw 27.83%

Tajikistan	Draw	United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.13%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 29.02%