Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium

China
0 - 0
Tajikistan

(80')
Wang (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Umarbaev (74'), Samiev (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between China and Tajikistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions

Last Game: China 1-2 Hong Kong
Monday, January 1 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	1	3	3
2	China	0	0	0
3	Tajikistan	0	0	0
4	Lebanon	1	-3	0

Tajikistan

All competitions

Last Game: Hong Kong 1-2 Tajikistan
Thursday, January 4 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	1	3	3
2	China	0	0	0
3	Tajikistan	0	0	0
4	Lebanon	1	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for China had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
China	Draw	Tajikistan
21.56% ( -0.07)	24.72% ( -0.02)	53.71% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.76% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2% (

-0)

52.8% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

-0)

74.42%

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.66% (

-0.08)

39.33% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.96% (

-0.07)

76.03% (

0.07)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.38% (

0.03)

19.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.44% (

0.06)

51.56% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

China 21.56%

Tajikistan 53.7%

Draw 24.72%

China	Draw	Tajikistan
1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.56%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.7%