Asian Cup
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium
  • Shangyuan Wang 29' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 80' goal
  • yellowcard Parvizchon Umarbaev 74'
  • yellowcard Shahrom Samiev 90'+4'

China vs Tajikistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions

Tajikistan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for China had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

China 21.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Tajikistan 53.71% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.76% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.42%
Over 4.5 11.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.27% ▼ (-0.01)

China Goals

Over 0.5 60.66% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 39.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 23.96% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 76.03% ▲ (+0.07)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5 80.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 19.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 48.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 51.56% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

China 21.56%
Draw 24.72%
Tajikistan 53.7%
China
1-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 21.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.72%
Tajikistan
0-1 @ 12.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 53.7%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 11, 2019 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yang Xu 10' goal
  • Wang Gang 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ehsoni Panshanbe 6'
  • yellowcard Amirbek Juraboev 47'
  • yellowcard Iskandar Dzhalilov 58'