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Asian Cup

Tajikistan national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Al Bayt Stadium
Qatar national football team

Tajikistan
0 - 1
Qatar


Safarov (35'), Hanonov (81'), Aini (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Afif (17')
Fathy (45+1'), Al Bayati (60'), Ro-Ro (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Asian Cup clash between Tajikistan and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: China 0-0 Tajikistan
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Qatar

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Qatar 3-0 Lebanon
Friday, January 12 at 4pm in Asian Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 43.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 27.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
TajikistanDrawQatar
43.77% (-1.068 -1.07)28.48% (0.248 0.25)27.75% (0.824 0.82)
Both teams to score 44.11% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.28% (-0.431 -0.43)61.72% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.47% (-0.32 -0.32)81.53% (0.32400000000001 0.32)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (-0.768 -0.77)28.06% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (-0.988 -0.99)63.72% (0.991 0.99)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (0.453 0.45)38.69% (-0.45 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (0.427 0.43)75.43% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Tajikistan 43.77%
    Qatar 27.74%
    Draw 28.48%
TajikistanDrawQatar
1-0 @ 13.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 43.77%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 10.85% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 10.3% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.118 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.196 0.2)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 27.74%

How you voted: Tajikistan vs Qatar

Tajikistan
5.8%
Draw
9.6%
Qatar
84.6%
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