Qatar vs Lebanon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.