Tajikistan vs Lebanon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.