Asian Cup
Jan 17, 2024 11.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al Thumama Stadium
  • yellowcard Yuning Zhang 30'

Lebanon vs China - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 12, 2024 4.00pm
Qatar 3 - 0 Lebanon

China

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
China 0 - 0 Tajikistan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 44.27%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for China had a probability of 27.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Lebanon 44.27% (-1.92)
Draw 28% (+0.46)
China 27.73% (+1.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.36% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.86% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 60.14% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 19.65% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 80.34% (+0.63)
Over 4.5 8.14% (-0.36)
Under 4.5 91.86% (+0.36)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5 72.95% (-1.35)
Under 0.5 27.05% (+1.35)
Over 1.5 37.58% (-1.80)
Under 1.5 62.41% (+1.80)

China Goals

Over 0.5 62.18% (+0.79)
Under 0.5 37.82% (-0.79)
Over 1.5 25.4% (+0.76)
Under 1.5 74.6% (-0.76)

Score analysis

Lebanon 44.26%
Draw 28%
China 27.73%
Lebanon
1-0 @ 13.37% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.42)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.22)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.13)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 44.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 13% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 10.23% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28%
China
0-1 @ 9.95% (+0.51)
1-2 @ 6.32% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.84% (+0.35)
1-3 @ 2.05% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.57% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 27.73%