Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Yemen win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.