World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī

Nepal
0 - 5
Bahrain

Dangi (57')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Al-Humaidan (2'), Baqer (9'), Madan (45+4'), Al Khatal (87'), Abdulatif (90+6' pen.)
Adel (14'), Al Hayam (68'), Madan (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Nepal and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

Last Game: Nepal 0-2 Yemen
Tuesday, November 21 at 1.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Bahrain

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bahrain 1-3 Japan
Wednesday, January 31 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahrain would win this match.

Result
Nepal	Draw	Bahrain
21.39% ( -1.31)	27.8% ( 0.2)	50.81% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 40.55% (

-1.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.55% (

-1.61)

63.45% (

1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.21% (

-1.17)

82.79% (

1.17)

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.32% (

-2.3)

45.68% (

2.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.53% (

-1.86)

81.47% (

1.86)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

-0.2)

25.34% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

-0.28)

60.13% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Nepal 21.39%

Bahrain 50.8%

Draw 27.8%

Nepal	Draw	Bahrain
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.39%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.67) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 15.89% ( 0.84) 0-2 @ 10.9% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 50.8%