World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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-
Manish Dangi
57'
-
Mahdi Al-Humaidan
2'
-
Sayed Baqer
9'
-
Mohamed Adel
14'
-
Ali Madan
45'+4'
-
Waleed Al Hayam
68'
-
Ibrahim Al Khatal
87'
-
Ali Madan
90'+5'
-
Ismaeel Abdulatif
90'+6'
Nepal vs Bahrain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahrain would win this match.
Result
Nepal
21.39%
▼
(-1.31)
Draw
27.8%
▲
(+0.20)
Bahrain
50.81%
▲
(+1.12)
Both Teams to Score:
40.55%
▼
(-1.84)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.55%
▼
(-1.61)
Under 2.5
63.45%
▲
(+1.61)
Over 3.5
17.21%
▼
(-1.17)
Under 3.5
82.79%
▲
(+1.18)
Over 4.5
6.78%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 4.5
93.22%
▲
(+0.65)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5
54.32%
▼
(-2.31)
Under 0.5
45.68%
▲
(+2.31)
Over 1.5
18.53%
▼
(-1.87)
Under 1.5
81.47%
▲
(+1.87)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5
74.66%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
25.34%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
39.87%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
60.13%
▲
(+0.29)
Score analysis
Nepal
21.39%
Draw
27.8%
Bahrain
50.8%
Nepal
1-0
@
9.07%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 21.39%
2-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 21.39%
Draw
1-1
@
12.45%
▼
(-0.13)
0-0 @ 11.57% ▲ (+0.67)
2-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.8%
0-0 @ 11.57% ▲ (+0.67)
2-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.8%
Bahrain
0-1
@
15.89%
▲
(+0.84)
0-2 @ 10.9% ▲ (+0.51)
1-2 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 50.8%
0-2 @ 10.9% ▲ (+0.51)
1-2 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 50.8%