World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 5, 2024 at 11.10am UK

Cbus Super Stadium

Australia
0 - 1
Bahrain

Rowles (58'), Circati (68'), Souttar (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Souttar (89' og.)
Al Khalasi (63'), Fadhel Abdulla Ahmed Maki Al Asfoor (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Australia 5-0 Palestine
Tuesday, June 11 at 1.10pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Bahrain

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: UAE 1-1 Bahrain
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Australia	Draw	Bahrain
44.35% ( 0.17)	26.19% ( -0.3)	29.46% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 51.56% (

0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.32% (

1.23)

52.68% (

-1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.68% (

1.05)

74.32% (

-1.04)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

0.62)

23.64% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

0.89)

57.74% (

-0.89)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52% (

0.74)

32.48% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31% (

0.83)

69.01% (

-0.82)

Score Analysis

Australia 44.35%

Bahrain 29.46%

Draw 26.19%

Australia	Draw	Bahrain
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 44.35%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.46%